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These Return Metrics Don't Make Beijing Jetsen Technology (SZSE:300182) Look Too Strong
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Beijing Jetsen Technology (SZSE:300182), so let's see why.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Beijing Jetsen Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.053 = CN¥431m ÷ (CN¥11b - CN¥2.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
So, Beijing Jetsen Technology has an ROCE of 5.3%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 5.4%.
View our latest analysis for Beijing Jetsen Technology
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Beijing Jetsen Technology compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Beijing Jetsen Technology .
What Does the ROCE Trend For Beijing Jetsen Technology Tell Us?
We are a bit anxious about the trends of ROCE at Beijing Jetsen Technology. Unfortunately, returns have declined substantially over the last five years to the 5.3% we see today. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 23% over that same period. When you see both ROCE and capital employed diminishing, it can often be a sign of a mature and shrinking business that might be in structural decline. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
On a side note, Beijing Jetsen Technology has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 26% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
In Conclusion...
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 12% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
Beijing Jetsen Technology could be trading at an attractive price in other respects, so you might find our free intrinsic value estimation for 300182 on our platform quite valuable.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Beijing Jetsen Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300182
Beijing Jetsen Technology
Engages in the film and television business in China.
Flawless balance sheet and slightly overvalued.