What Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002181) P/S Is Not Telling You
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002181) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.7x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Media industry in China have P/S ratios below 2.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media
What Does Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this good revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.9% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 12% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002181
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media
Operates as a newspaper media company in China.
Mediocre balance sheet low.