Stock Analysis

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With Bona Film Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001330)

SZSE:001330
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It's not a stretch to say that Bona Film Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:001330) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Entertainment industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Bona Film Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:001330 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

How Has Bona Film Group Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Bona Film Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Bona Film Group.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Bona Film Group's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 56%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 3.3% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 103% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 35% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Bona Film Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Bona Film Group's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Bona Film Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Bona Film Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.