Stock Analysis

H&R Century Union Corporation's (SZSE:000892) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

SZSE:000892
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H&R Century Union Corporation's (SZSE:000892) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.2x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Entertainment industry in China have P/S ratios below 5.6x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for H&R Century Union

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000892 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 1st 2024

How Has H&R Century Union Performed Recently?

For example, consider that H&R Century Union's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on H&R Century Union will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For H&R Century Union?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as H&R Century Union's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 25%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 76% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that H&R Century Union's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On H&R Century Union's P/S

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

The fact that H&R Century Union currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for H&R Century Union that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on H&R Century Union, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if H&R Century Union might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.