Stock Analysis
Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD (SHSE:600070) Stock Rockets 25% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD (SHSE:600070) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.3x, you may consider Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD as a stock not worth researching with its 7.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD
How Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 12% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 94% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600070
Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD
Provides internet services in China.