Stock Analysis

Some Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301118) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding

SZSE:301118
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Hunan Hengguang Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301118) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 38% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Hunan Hengguang Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Chemicals industry is similar at about 2.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Hunan Hengguang Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301118 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

What Does Hunan Hengguang Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Hunan Hengguang Technology recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to only match most other companies at best over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Hengguang Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hunan Hengguang Technology?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Hunan Hengguang Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 48% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Hunan Hengguang Technology's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Hunan Hengguang Technology's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Hunan Hengguang Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Hunan Hengguang Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hunan Hengguang Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hunan Hengguang Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.