Ningbo Color Master Batch's (SZSE:301019) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
Ningbo Color Master Batch Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301019) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.
Check out our latest analysis for Ningbo Color Master Batch
Examining Cashflow Against Ningbo Color Master Batch's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
For the year to June 2024, Ningbo Color Master Batch had an accrual ratio of 0.21. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥23m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥104.1m. Ningbo Color Master Batch shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. The good news for shareholders is that Ningbo Color Master Batch's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ningbo Color Master Batch.
Our Take On Ningbo Color Master Batch's Profit Performance
Ningbo Color Master Batch didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Ningbo Color Master Batch's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But at least holders can take some solace from the 29% EPS growth in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Ningbo Color Master Batch as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Ningbo Color Master Batch (2 are a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Ningbo Color Master Batch's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301019
Ningbo Color Master Batch
Produces and sells plastic colors in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with acceptable track record.