Revenues Not Telling The Story For Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300343)
When close to half the companies in the Chemicals industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300343) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Lecron Industrial Development Group
What Does Lecron Industrial Development Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
For instance, Lecron Industrial Development Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Lecron Industrial Development Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Lecron Industrial Development Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
Lecron Industrial Development Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 57%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 52% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Lecron Industrial Development Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Lecron Industrial Development Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Lecron Industrial Development Group that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300343
Lecron Industrial Development Group
Lecron Industrial Development Group Co., Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet minimal.