Stock Analysis

Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd (SZSE:002988) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SZSE:002988
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Guangdong Haomei New Materials Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002988) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd

What Is Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd had CN¥2.67b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥436.7m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.23b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002988 Debt to Equity History February 19th 2025

A Look At Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.46b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥436.7m and CN¥2.78b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥400.6m.

Of course, Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥5.64b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's debt is 4.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.3 times over. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. The silver lining is that Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd grew its EBIT by 201% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Guangdong Haomei New MaterialsLtd (including 1 which is concerning) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.