Tibet GaoZheng Explosive Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002827) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 27% Slump
Tibet GaoZheng Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002827) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 48% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, Tibet GaoZheng Explosive may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times have been pleasing for Tibet GaoZheng Explosive as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Tibet GaoZheng Explosive
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 202% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 45% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 38%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Tibet GaoZheng Explosive is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's very lofty P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Tibet GaoZheng Explosive that you need to be mindful of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002827
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives
Xizang Gaozheng Civil Explosives Co., Ltd.
Exceptional growth potential with proven track record.
Market Insights
Weekly Picks
Early mover in a fast growing industry. Likely to experience share price volatility as they scale

A case for CA$31.80 (undiluted), aka 8,616% upside from CA$0.37 (an 86 bagger!).

Moderation and Stabilisation: HOLD: Fair Price based on a 4-year Cycle is $12.08
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