Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Tibet GaoZheng Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002827) With Shares Advancing 27%

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SZSE:002827

Tibet GaoZheng Explosive Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002827) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 27% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 143% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

After such a large jump in price, Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 60.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 16x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Tibet GaoZheng Explosive as its earnings have been rising very briskly. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Tibet GaoZheng Explosive

SZSE:002827 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 19th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tibet GaoZheng Explosive will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 105% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 137% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's curious that Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's P/E rushing to great heights as well. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Tibet GaoZheng Explosive revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Tibet GaoZheng Explosive has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tibet GaoZheng Explosive's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tibet GaoZheng Explosive might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.