Stock Analysis
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Yunnan Energy New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002812) Price
With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 38x in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yunnan Energy New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002812) P/E ratio of 38.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Yunnan Energy New Material as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Yunnan Energy New Material
How Is Yunnan Energy New Material's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Yunnan Energy New Material's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 74%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 66% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 37%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that Yunnan Energy New Material is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Yunnan Energy New Material's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Yunnan Energy New Material currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Yunnan Energy New Material (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002812
Yunnan Energy New Material
Offers film products in China and internationally.