Stock Analysis

Are Hubei Kailong Chemical Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002783) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

SZSE:002783
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With its stock down 15% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Hubei Kailong Chemical Group (SZSE:002783). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Hubei Kailong Chemical Group's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Hubei Kailong Chemical Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hubei Kailong Chemical Group is:

5.7% = CN¥198m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hubei Kailong Chemical Group's Earnings Growth And 5.7% ROE

When you first look at it, Hubei Kailong Chemical Group's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.2%, we may spare it some thought. On the other hand, Hubei Kailong Chemical Group reported a moderate 18% net income growth over the past five years. Considering the moderately low ROE, it is quite possible that there might be some other aspects that are positively influencing the company's earnings growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Hubei Kailong Chemical Group's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.9%.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002783 Past Earnings Growth January 4th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Hubei Kailong Chemical Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Hubei Kailong Chemical Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a three-year median payout ratio of 31% (implying that the company retains 69% of its profits), it seems that Hubei Kailong Chemical Group is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees respectable amount growth in its earnings and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Hubei Kailong Chemical Group has paid dividends over a period of nine years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Hubei Kailong Chemical Group has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Hubei Kailong Chemical Group by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hubei Kailong Chemical Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002783

Hubei Kailong Chemical Group

Engages in the production and sale of explosive materials primarily in China.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.

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