Stock Analysis

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002709) Looks Just Right With A 34% Price Jump

SZSE:002709
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Despite an already strong run, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002709) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 6.9% over the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002709 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 22nd 2024

What Does Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 51% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 33% during the coming year according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Chemicals industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.