Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002671) With Shares Advancing 35%

SZSE:002671
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Shandong Longquan Pipe Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002671) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 10.0% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Basic Materials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may consider Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002671 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 9th 2024

How Has Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 23% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 20% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's P/S

The large bounce in Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shandong Longquan Pipe IndustryLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.