Stock Analysis

Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002652) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SZSE:002652
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002652) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 25% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou Yangtze New Materials' P/S ratio of 2.5x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Packaging industry in China is also close to 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Suzhou Yangtze New Materials

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002652 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

How Has Suzhou Yangtze New Materials Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Suzhou Yangtze New Materials over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Suzhou Yangtze New Materials will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Suzhou Yangtze New Materials would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 15% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 70% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Yangtze New Materials' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Suzhou Yangtze New Materials' P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Suzhou Yangtze New Materials looks to be in line with the rest of the Packaging industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We find it unexpected that Suzhou Yangtze New Materials trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Suzhou Yangtze New Materials (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.