Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Satellite Chemical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002648) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Satellite ChemicalLtd
What Is Satellite ChemicalLtd's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Satellite ChemicalLtd had CN„12.6b of debt, an increase on CN„11.4b, over one year. However, it also had CN„4.72b in cash, and so its net debt is CN„7.92b.
How Healthy Is Satellite ChemicalLtd's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Satellite ChemicalLtd had liabilities of CN„14.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN„25.1b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN„4.72b in cash and CN„2.27b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN„32.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN„49.6b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Satellite ChemicalLtd's net debt is only 0.87 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 24.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Satellite ChemicalLtd grew its EBIT by 111% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Satellite ChemicalLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Satellite ChemicalLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 56% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Happily, Satellite ChemicalLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Satellite ChemicalLtd takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Satellite ChemicalLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
âą Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
âą Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
âą Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002648
Satellite ChemicalLtd
A low-carbon chemical company, manufactures and sells functional chemicals, new polymer materials, and new energy materials in China and internationally.
Very undervalued with solid track record and pays a dividend.
