Stock Analysis

There Are Reasons To Feel Uneasy About Chengdu Wintrue Holding's (SZSE:002539) Returns On Capital

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Chengdu Wintrue Holding (SZSE:002539) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

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Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Chengdu Wintrue Holding:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.072 = CN¥944m ÷ (CN¥23b - CN¥9.5b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

Therefore, Chengdu Wintrue Holding has an ROCE of 7.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.

View our latest analysis for Chengdu Wintrue Holding

roce
SZSE:002539 Return on Capital Employed January 20th 2025

In the above chart we have measured Chengdu Wintrue Holding's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Chengdu Wintrue Holding .

What Can We Tell From Chengdu Wintrue Holding's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Chengdu Wintrue Holding, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 11%, but since then they've fallen to 7.2%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a related note, Chengdu Wintrue Holding has decreased its current liabilities to 42% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money. Either way, they're still at a pretty high level, so we'd like to see them fall further if possible.

The Key Takeaway

To conclude, we've found that Chengdu Wintrue Holding is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Since the stock has gained an impressive 92% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Chengdu Wintrue Holding (including 1 which is concerning) .

While Chengdu Wintrue Holding isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002539

Chengdu Wintrue Holding

Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of compound fertilizers.

Undervalued second-rate dividend payer.

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