Stock Analysis

Does Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd (SZSE:002532) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SZSE:002532
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Tianshan Aluminum Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002532) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd

What Is Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd had debt of CN¥17.6b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥18.7b over a year. On the flip side, it has CN¥10.8b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥6.80b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002532 Debt to Equity History November 18th 2024

How Strong Is Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥24.0b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.21b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥10.8b and CN¥968.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥20.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd is worth CN¥40.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.1 and interest cover of 6.6 times, it seems to us that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd has boosted its EBIT by 49%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 55% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.