Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Tianqi Lithium Corporation's (SZSE:002466) Price

SZSE:002466
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2x in the Chemicals industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Tianqi Lithium Corporation's (SZSE:002466) P/S ratio of 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Tianqi Lithium

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002466 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024

What Does Tianqi Lithium's Recent Performance Look Like?

Tianqi Lithium could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Tianqi Lithium's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tianqi Lithium?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tianqi Lithium would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 32%. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it is now in decline.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Tianqi Lithium's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

While Tianqi Lithium's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Tianqi Lithium that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Tianqi Lithium's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tianqi Lithium might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.