Stock Analysis

Zhe Jiang Kangsheng Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002418) Shares May Have Slumped 26% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

SZSE:002418
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Zhe Jiang Kangsheng Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002418) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Metals and Mining industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.2x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002418 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 1st 2024

What Does Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 8.8% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 14% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Following Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhe Jiang KangshengLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.