Stock Analysis

Investors Continue Waiting On Sidelines For Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002237)

SZSE:002237
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Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002237) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 56x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

There hasn't been much to differentiate Shandong Humon Smelting's and the market's retreating earnings lately. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings may begin to slide even faster. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. In saying that, existing shareholders may feel hopeful about the share price if the company's earnings continue tracking the market.

See our latest analysis for Shandong Humon Smelting

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002237 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shandong Humon Smelting.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Shandong Humon Smelting's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.6%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 51% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 45% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 42%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Shandong Humon Smelting's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Shandong Humon Smelting's P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shandong Humon Smelting currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shandong Humon Smelting (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shandong Humon Smelting is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.