Stock Analysis
- China
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- Metals and Mining
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- SZSE:002075
Subdued Growth No Barrier To Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002075) Price
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Metals and Mining industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangsu Shagang Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002075) P/S ratio of 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Shagang
What Does Jiangsu Shagang's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Jiangsu Shagang's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Shagang's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Shagang?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Shagang would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 19% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Jiangsu Shagang's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Shagang's P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Jiangsu Shagang currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Jiangsu Shagang is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are significant.
If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Shagang's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002075
Jiangsu Shagang
Engages in the development, smelting, processing, and sales of ferrous metal products in China and internationally.