Stock Analysis

Here's Why Zhejiang NHU (SZSE:002001) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SZSE:002001
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd. (SZSE:002001) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang NHU

What Is Zhejiang NHU's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zhejiang NHU had CN¥9.70b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥10.7b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥4.68b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥5.02b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002001 Debt to Equity History August 8th 2024

A Look At Zhejiang NHU's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Zhejiang NHU had liabilities of CN¥4.90b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.92b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.68b and CN¥3.74b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥5.40b.

Of course, Zhejiang NHU has a market capitalization of CN¥64.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Zhejiang NHU has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.96. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 26.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. While Zhejiang NHU doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang NHU's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang NHU reported free cash flow worth 16% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Zhejiang NHU's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Zhejiang NHU is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Zhejiang NHU is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.