Stock Analysis

Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688148) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 37%

SHSE:688148
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Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688148) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 28% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688148 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2024

What Does Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 45% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's P/S

Despite Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Guangdong Fangyuan New Materials Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.