Stock Analysis

Jinhong GasLtd (SHSE:688106) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SHSE:688106
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Jinhong Gas Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688106) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jinhong GasLtd

What Is Jinhong GasLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Jinhong GasLtd had CN¥2.11b of debt, an increase on CN¥766.5m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥235.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688106 Debt to Equity History May 25th 2024

A Look At Jinhong GasLtd's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jinhong GasLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.42b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.86b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.87b as well as receivables valued at CN¥730.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥679.0m.

Given Jinhong GasLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.38b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Jinhong GasLtd's net debt is only 0.37 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 34.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Jinhong GasLtd grew its EBIT by 41% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jinhong GasLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jinhong GasLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Happily, Jinhong GasLtd's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Jinhong GasLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jinhong GasLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Jinhong GasLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.