Stock Analysis

Fujian Kuncai Material Technology (SHSE:603826) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SHSE:603826
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Fujian Kuncai Material Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603826) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Fujian Kuncai Material Technology

What Is Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Fujian Kuncai Material Technology had CN„1.84b of debt, up from CN„1.67b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN„115.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CN„1.72b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603826 Debt to Equity History June 7th 2024

A Look At Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Kuncai Material Technology had liabilities of CN„1.73b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN„898.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN„115.5m as well as receivables valued at CN„284.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN„2.23b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Fujian Kuncai Material Technology has a market capitalization of CN„17.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1, it's fair to say Fujian Kuncai Material Technology does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. The good news is that Fujian Kuncai Material Technology grew its EBIT a smooth 49% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fujian Kuncai Material Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Fujian Kuncai Material Technology burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither Fujian Kuncai Material Technology's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Fujian Kuncai Material Technology is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Fujian Kuncai Material Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.