Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Sanwei Holding Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603033)
It's not a stretch to say that Sanwei Holding Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603033) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Chemicals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Sanwei Holding GroupLtd
What Does Sanwei Holding GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
Sanwei Holding GroupLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Sanwei Holding GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Sanwei Holding GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sanwei Holding GroupLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 57% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Sanwei Holding GroupLtd's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Sanwei Holding GroupLtd's P/S?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our examination of Sanwei Holding GroupLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Sanwei Holding GroupLtd (2 are potentially serious) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sanwei Holding GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603033
Sanwei Holding GroupLtd
Manufactures and sells conveyor belt and V belt products for bulk materials and various industrial applications.
Low and overvalued.