Investors three-year losses continue as Befar GroupLtd (SHSE:601678) dips a further 6.7% this week, earnings continue to decline
If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. Long term Befar Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:601678) shareholders know that all too well, since the share price is down considerably over three years. Sadly for them, the share price is down 53% in that time. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 12% in the last 90 days.
Since Befar GroupLtd has shed CN¥524m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
Check out our latest analysis for Befar GroupLtd
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Befar GroupLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 46% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 22% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Befar GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Befar GroupLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was -50%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Befar GroupLtd shareholders are down 11% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 6.1%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Befar GroupLtd is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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About SHSE:601678
Befar GroupLtd
Engages in the production, processing, and sale of organic and inorganic chemical products primarily caustic soda in China and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential slight.