David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Luyin Investment Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600784) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Luyin Investment GroupLtd
What Is Luyin Investment GroupLtd's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Luyin Investment GroupLtd had CN¥1.27b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥1.39b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥341.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥931.3m.
A Look At Luyin Investment GroupLtd's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Luyin Investment GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.34b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥714.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥341.4m in cash and CN¥748.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥970.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Luyin Investment GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.18b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
We'd say that Luyin Investment GroupLtd's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.7), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 132 times, makes us even more comfortable. It is just as well that Luyin Investment GroupLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 23% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Luyin Investment GroupLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Luyin Investment GroupLtd created free cash flow amounting to 8.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Luyin Investment GroupLtd's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Luyin Investment GroupLtd's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Luyin Investment GroupLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600784
Luyin Investment GroupLtd
Primarily involved in the powder metallurgy materials and products business.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.