Stock Analysis
Shareholders 45% loss in Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd (SHSE:600596) partly attributable to the company's decline in earnings over past three years
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600596) share price has gained 16% in the last three months. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. In fact, the share price is down 51% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
The recent uptick of 3.5% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 64% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 21% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 118.34.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -45%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd shareholders are up 1.7% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 8% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600596
Zhejiang Xinan Chemical Industrial GroupLtd
Develops, manufactures, and sells chemical products for plant protection in China and internationally.