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Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd (SHSE:600595) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Henan Zhongfu Industrial Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600595) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd
What Is Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd had CN¥4.56b of debt, up from CN¥4.09b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.31b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.25b.
A Look At Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.96b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.53b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.31b and CN¥2.40b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥11.0b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.3 and interest cover of 5.7 times, it seems to us that Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. We note that Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd grew its EBIT by 24% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
The good news is that Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd's earnings per share history for free.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600595
Henan Zhongfu IndustrialLtd
Processes, manufactures, and sells electrolytic aluminum and aluminum products in China.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.