Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600527) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 32%
Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer Fiber Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600527) shares have retraced a considerable 32% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 7.0% over the last twelve months.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may still consider Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd as a stock not worth researching with its 5.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd
What Does Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.4%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 21% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's P/S
Even after such a strong price drop, Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd (3 are potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600527
Jiangsu Jiangnan High Polymer FiberLtd
Engages in the production and sale of composite short-fibers and polyester tops in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet slight.