Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) With Shares Advancing 29%

SHSE:600490
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Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600490) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 29% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 13% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Pengxin International MiningLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Metals and Mining industry have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Pengxin International MiningLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600490 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 20th 2024

How Has Pengxin International MiningLtd Performed Recently?

For instance, Pengxin International MiningLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Pengxin International MiningLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Pengxin International MiningLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Pengxin International MiningLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 59%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 65% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Pengxin International MiningLtd's P/S

Pengxin International MiningLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Pengxin International MiningLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Pengxin International MiningLtd that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Pengxin International MiningLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.