Stock Analysis

Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

SHSE:600346
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600346) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd

What Is Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd had CN„160.6b of debt, up from CN„147.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN„21.8b, its net debt is less, at about CN„138.8b.

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SHSE:600346 Debt to Equity History September 6th 2024

How Strong Is Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd had liabilities of CN„134.1b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN„79.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN„21.8b as well as receivables valued at CN„14.3b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN„177.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN„89.4b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.9, it's fair to say Hengli PetrochemicalLtd does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.4 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. One redeeming factor for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN„14b, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hengli PetrochemicalLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Hengli PetrochemicalLtd has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hengli PetrochemicalLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.