Stock Analysis

Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd (SHSE:600338) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SHSE:600338
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Tibet Summit Resources Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600338) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd had CN¥299.9m of debt, an increase on CN¥247.2m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥40.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥259.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600338 Debt to Equity History March 26th 2024

A Look At Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.08b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥58.5m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥40.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥115.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.99b.

Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥8.94b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.27 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.9 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Shareholders should be aware that Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's EBIT was down 71% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's EBIT growth rate was disappointing. But on the bright side, its net debt to EBITDA is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tibet Summit ResourcesLtd you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.