Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600165) After Shares Rise 25%

SHSE:600165
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The Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SHSE:600165) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600165 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 13th 2024

What Does Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 54% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ningxia Zhongke Biotechnology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.