Stock Analysis

Here's Why Yunnan Yuntianhua (SHSE:600096) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SHSE:600096
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Yunnan Yuntianhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600096) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Yunnan Yuntianhua

What Is Yunnan Yuntianhua's Debt?

As you can see below, Yunnan Yuntianhua had CN¥19.4b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥8.26b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥11.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600096 Debt to Equity History May 13th 2024

How Healthy Is Yunnan Yuntianhua's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yunnan Yuntianhua had liabilities of CN¥17.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥13.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥8.26b in cash and CN¥3.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥19.3b.

Yunnan Yuntianhua has a market capitalization of CN¥39.4b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Yunnan Yuntianhua has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.2. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 33.6 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Yunnan Yuntianhua's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 23% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yunnan Yuntianhua can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Yunnan Yuntianhua generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Yunnan Yuntianhua is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Yunnan Yuntianhua's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Yunnan Yuntianhua that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Yunnan Yuntianhua is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.