Stock Analysis

With A 26% Price Drop For Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688246) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

SHSE:688246
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Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688246) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Goodwill E-Health Info may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 66.8x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Goodwill E-Health Info hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Goodwill E-Health Info

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688246 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 25th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Goodwill E-Health Info's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Goodwill E-Health Info's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 33% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 55% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 219% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 34% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Goodwill E-Health Info's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Goodwill E-Health Info's P/E?

Goodwill E-Health Info's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Goodwill E-Health Info's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Goodwill E-Health Info you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.