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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688246) Even Though It's 25% Cheaper
Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688246) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 28% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Healthcare Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 6.7x, you may consider Goodwill E-Health Info as an solid investment opportunity with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Goodwill E-Health Info
What Does Goodwill E-Health Info's Recent Performance Look Like?
Goodwill E-Health Info hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Goodwill E-Health Info.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Goodwill E-Health Info?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Goodwill E-Health Info's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 39% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 29% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Goodwill E-Health Info's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
The southerly movements of Goodwill E-Health Info's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To us, it seems Goodwill E-Health Info currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Goodwill E-Health Info has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688246
Goodwill E-Health Info
Engages in the research and development of medical information software in China.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.