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Investors Appear Satisfied With Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688246) Prospects As Shares Rocket 26%
Those holding Goodwill E-Health Info Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688246) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 41% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Goodwill E-Health Info as a stock to avoid entirely with its 72.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Goodwill E-Health Info has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Goodwill E-Health Info
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Goodwill E-Health Info.Is There Enough Growth For Goodwill E-Health Info?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Goodwill E-Health Info's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 33%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 55% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 199% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Goodwill E-Health Info's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Goodwill E-Health Info's P/E
Goodwill E-Health Info's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Goodwill E-Health Info's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Goodwill E-Health Info that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Goodwill E-Health Info. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688246
Goodwill E-Health Info
Engages in the research and development of medical information software in China.
High growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.