Stock Analysis

What Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688193) 29% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

SHSE:688193
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Those holding Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688193) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 53% share price decline over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Medical Equipment in China have P/S ratios under 5.6x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688193 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's P/S?

Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:688193

Shanghai Rendu Biotechnology

Engages in the development and promotion of RNA molecular diagnostic technology and products.

Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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