Stock Analysis
- China
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- Medical Equipment
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- SHSE:688016
7.5% earnings growth over 3 years has not materialized into gains for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech (SHSE:688016) shareholders over that period
No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688016) share price is down 16% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -11%. That's better than the market which declined 14% over the last three years. Unfortunately the share price momentum is still quite negative, with prices down 8.6% in thirty days. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 4.8% in the same time.
With the stock having lost 4.0% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 24% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 25% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. It's probably worth investigating Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We know that Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech, it has a TSR of -11% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 19% in the last year, Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech shareholders lost 2.7% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.9%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688016
Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech
Shanghai MicroPort Endovascular MedTech Co., Ltd.