Stock Analysis

Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's (SZSE:300972) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

SZSE:300972
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When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300972) stock has recently. Our analysis found some more factors that we think are good for shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group

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SZSE:300972 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group had an accrual ratio of -2.95. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.9b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥57.7m. Notably, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥1.9b it produced this year was a welcome improvement. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group increased the number of shares on issue by 17% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To celebrate net income while ignoring dilution is like rejoicing because you have a single slice of a larger pizza, but ignoring the fact that the pizza is now cut into many more slices. Check out Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

In the long term, if Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

Our Take On Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group has a strong cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates good quality earnings, but the dilution means its earnings per share are dropping faster than its profit. Based on these factors, we think that Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group (1 shouldn't be ignored!) and we strongly recommend you look at these bad boys before investing.

Our examination of Fujian Wanchen Biotechnology Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.