Stock Analysis

We Think Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry (SZSE:300761) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SZSE:300761
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300761) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry

What Is Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry had CN„2.29b of debt in June 2024, down from CN„2.66b, one year before. However, it does have CN„652.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN„1.64b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300761 Debt to Equity History September 18th 2024

A Look At Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry had liabilities of CN„5.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN„772.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN„652.4m and CN„275.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN„4.90b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry is worth CN„14.4b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With net debt sitting at just 1.1 times EBITDA, Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.7 times the interest expense over the last year. On top of that, Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry grew its EBIT by 39% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last two years, Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiangsu Lihua Animal Husbandry .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.