Stock Analysis

Winall Hi-tech Seed (SZSE:300087) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SZSE:300087
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Winall Hi-tech Seed Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300087) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Winall Hi-tech Seed

How Much Debt Does Winall Hi-tech Seed Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Winall Hi-tech Seed had debt of CN¥1.51b, up from CN¥791.9m in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.13b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥381.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300087 Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Winall Hi-tech Seed's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Winall Hi-tech Seed had liabilities of CN¥2.87b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥737.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.13b and CN¥696.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.78b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Winall Hi-tech Seed has a market capitalization of CN¥5.97b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Winall Hi-tech Seed has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.96. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 10.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Also good is that Winall Hi-tech Seed grew its EBIT at 13% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Winall Hi-tech Seed can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Winall Hi-tech Seed created free cash flow amounting to 15% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On our analysis Winall Hi-tech Seed's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Winall Hi-tech Seed is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Winall Hi-tech Seed (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.