Stock Analysis

Recent 5.5% pullback would hurt New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002946) insiders

SZSE:002946
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Key Insights

  • Insiders appear to have a vested interest in New Hope Dairy's growth, as seen by their sizeable ownership
  • 65% of the company is held by a single shareholder (Chang Liu)
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

If you want to know who really controls New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002946), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. We can see that individual insiders own the lion's share in the company with 83% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

As market cap fell to CN¥12b last week, insiders would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of New Hope Dairy, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for New Hope Dairy

ownership-breakdown
SZSE:002946 Ownership Breakdown January 29th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About New Hope Dairy?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Institutions have a very small stake in New Hope Dairy. That indicates that the company is on the radar of some funds, but it isn't particularly popular with professional investors at the moment. If the business gets stronger from here, we could see a situation where more institutions are keen to buy. We sometimes see a rising share price when a few big institutions want to buy a certain stock at the same time. The history of earnings and revenue, which you can see below, could be helpful in considering if more institutional investors will want the stock. Of course, there are plenty of other factors to consider, too.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002946 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 29th 2025

Hedge funds don't have many shares in New Hope Dairy. Our data shows that Chang Liu is the largest shareholder with 65% of shares outstanding. This essentially means that they have extensive influence, if not outright control, over the future of the corporation. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 16% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 1.2% by the third-largest shareholder. Gang Xi, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chairman of the Board.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of New Hope Dairy

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own the majority of New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd.. This means they can collectively make decisions for the company. Given it has a market cap of CN¥12b, that means insiders have a whopping CN¥10b worth of shares in their own names. Most would be pleased to see the board is investing alongside them. You may wish to discover if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 15% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with New Hope Dairy .

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Hope Dairy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:002946

New Hope Dairy

Produces and sells dairy products in China.

Solid track record and fair value.

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