Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002852) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Despite an already strong run, Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002852) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.2% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Food industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd
How Has Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 20%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 18% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 16% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.
The Bottom Line On Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's P/S
Despite Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002852
Daodaoquan Grain and OilLtd
Operates as an oil processing company in China.
Good value slight.