Maiquer Group CO.,LTD's (SZSE:002719) 29% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Despite an already strong run, Maiquer Group CO.,LTD (SZSE:002719) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 22% over that time.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in China's Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Maiquer GroupLTD as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Maiquer GroupLTD
How Has Maiquer GroupLTD Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Maiquer GroupLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Maiquer GroupLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Maiquer GroupLTD's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Maiquer GroupLTD's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 4.3%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 38% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Maiquer GroupLTD's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Maiquer GroupLTD shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Maiquer GroupLTD currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Maiquer GroupLTD that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Maiquer GroupLTD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002719
Maiquer GroupLTD
Engages in the production and sale of dairy products, beverages, baked, frozen drinks, and quick-frozen foods in China.
Mediocre balance sheet very low.