Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Guangdong Haid Group (SZSE:002311) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SZSE:002311
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Guangdong Haid Group Co., Limited (SZSE:002311) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Haid Group

What Is Guangdong Haid Group's Debt?

As you can see below, Guangdong Haid Group had CN¥7.25b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥11.3b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥4.60b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥2.65b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002311 Debt to Equity History July 30th 2024

How Strong Is Guangdong Haid Group's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Guangdong Haid Group had liabilities of CN¥19.6b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.38b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.60b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.62b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥14.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Guangdong Haid Group is worth CN¥70.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Guangdong Haid Group has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.44. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 36.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that Guangdong Haid Group saw its EBIT decline by 5.0% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Haid Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Guangdong Haid Group recorded free cash flow worth 78% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Guangdong Haid Group's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Guangdong Haid Group is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Haid Group you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.